容凯尔's projection on Asia

英国《金融时报》首席亚洲事务评论员居伊"德"容凯尔(Guy de Jonquieres) is going to retire soon. On March 28 he released the last piece of his Asia column on FT - A ringside view of history in the making, which made eight predictions about Asia, boldly and brilliantly. Today its Chinese version became available at www.FTChinese.com, where everybody can have free access.

I completely agree on some of his prediction while have no idea about the others. He said, ...其领导权的政治合法性，取决于它能否让尽可能多的人生活水平不断提高。对那个目标的追求，本质上是实用主义性质的，而且采取的是试错法...这是投 资组合理论在政治上的应用。其中最重大的问题是，经济发展最终将从政治上把这个国家引向何方...限制言论自由的做法，在经济上和政治上都是错误的...